A new study released in June 2026 by the Black Management Forum (BMF) and Henley Business School Africa has struck a sober note: South Africa’s Broad‑Based Black Economic Empowerment (BEE) policy has delivered modest gains for a narrow slice of the population while leaving the majority of working‑age households trapped in low‑income brackets. Drawing on 17 years of BEE implementation data and household income figures from Statistics SA and Quantec, the report paints a picture of progress that is uneven and largely confined to the black middle class.

The findings show that the black middle class has expanded by 52 % – rising from 1.3 million households in 2008 to almost 2 million in 2025 – and that black professionals have steadily entered boardrooms and senior management positions. Yet, 70 % of working‑age households remain low‑income, a figure that has stubbornly held steady since 2008. In 2025, only 2.5 % of black households were classified as high‑income, compared with 24.1 % of white households, underscoring a persistent income divide that the policy has yet to bridge.

These numbers sit against a backdrop of chronic economic strain. South Africa’s unemployment rate sits at 32.4 %, with youth unemployment at 62.2 %. Annual growth has averaged 0.8 % since 2012. The report argues that the BEE framework—reliant on compliance scorecards and ownership transactions—has devolved into a “box‑ticking” exercise that fails to translate into widespread job creation or income growth, diluting its transformative potential.

The study’s critique is echoed by the World Bank’s Drivers of Growth Report, published in March 2025, which warns that regulatory complexity, including BEE requirements, discourages investment and hampers new business formation. The report notes that compliance costs fall disproportionately on small enterprises, the very entities most capable of generating large‑scale employment. Surveying more than 500 business managers, the BMF and Henley study found that while respondents acknowledged BEE’s role in expanding opportunity and diversifying leadership, they lambasted the system for prioritising compliance over tangible transformation. The study recommends shifting from scorecard metrics to outcome‑based incentives such as job creation, the survival and growth of black‑owned enterprises, and households moving out of the low‑income bracket.

To operationalise this shift, the report proposes six reforms. First, replace compliance‑driven scorecards with incentives tied to measurable results. Second, simplify BEE requirements for firms with fewer than 50 employees to lower barriers for small businesses. Third, align skills investment with job‑creating sectors such as renewable energy, construction, agro‑processing, logistics, and tourism. Fourth, prioritise contractor track record and capacity over BEE status in procurement. Fifth, broaden ownership through employee share‑ownership schemes. Sixth, conduct independent, data‑driven assessments of BEE’s impact using household income, employment, and enterprise survival metrics.

The report’s conclusions arrive when South Africa’s political landscape remains sharply divided over BEE. The ANC, in power since 1994, defends the policy as a necessary tool for redress, while the Democratic Alliance, the main opposition party, calls for a review of its effectiveness. The study does not advocate abolishing BEE but for a substantive overhaul of its implementation. By moving to a leaner, outcome‑focused framework, the authors argue, the policy can better serve its original goal of broad economic transformation. The findings are poised to influence the next parliamentary session, where proposals to streamline BEE compliance and introduce performance‑based incentives will be debated. Meanwhile, the World Bank and other international partners will monitor how these reforms affect investment flows and small‑business growth.